# Anthropic Releases Model Simulating AI Economic Impacts by 2030

The interactive scenario explorer projects US economic growth, jobs, and wages across modest, substantial, and extreme AI adoption scenarios.

- The model breaks jobs into task bundles to evaluate whether AI accelerates, automates, replaces, or creates new tasks.
- Users can adjust task-level assumptions and compare their projections against responses from over 10,000 surveyed Americans.
- The analysis projects economic growth across all scenarios, with heavy knowledge work automation occurring in more transformative outcomes.

## Why it matters

Economists and policymakers can test how varying rates of task automation affect US wage and labor distributions over the next decade.

## Sources

- [Anthropic: Anthropic Releases Model Simulating AI Economic Impacts by 2030](https://x.com/AnthropicAI/status/2097679796687769689)

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Summarized by dstilled on 2026-09-09. https://dstilled.ai/story/10a5c2a2-fb5c-4356-9aa9-8be24e6f74f1